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Journal of Hepatology

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Journal of Hepatology's content profile, based on 18 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Very low HDL cholesterol in infectious mononucleosis with hepatitis: a real-world evidence study

Ben-Dov, I. Z.; Danoon, A.

2026-06-01 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.22.26353421 medRxiv
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Background. Infectious mononucleosis (IM) with hepatitis is associated with suppression of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), but the magnitude, specificity, recovery kinetics, and long-term cardiovascular implications of this finding have not been systematically characterised. Methods. Using the TriNetX Global Collaborative Network (<190 million patients, 178 healthcare organisations), we conducted a retrospective real-world evidence study in 1,944 adults with IM and hepatitis. We compared HDL-C distributions at presentation across 14 propensity-score-matched (PSM) comparator cohorts spanning other infectious, metabolic, and immune-mediated conditions. Gaussian mixture modelling characterised the HDL distribution. Longitudinal HDL trajectory was assessed across six post-index time windows, with the number of patients contributing a measurement ranging from 318 (16-30 days) to 2,849 (1-3 years) per window. Long-term major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) were analysed in PSM cohorts of IM patients with very low HDL ([&le;]20 mg/dL, n = 979 per arm after PSM) versus those without low HDL, over up to 20 years of follow-up, with COVID-19 (n = 83,888 per arm) and pharyngitis (n = 10,618 per arm) as comparators. Results. At presentation, mean HDL in IM hepatitis was 36.7 +/- 22.6 mg/dL (median 33 mg/dL), ~14-17 mg/dL lower compared to pre-illness values. Nearly one quarter (23.9%) had HDL [&le;]20 mg/dL and 43.9% had HDL [&le;]30 mg/dL. HDL suppression was equivalent to CMV hepatitis but substantially greater than pharyngitis and IM without hepatitis, supporting a hepatitis-driven mechanism. Gaussian mixture modelling identified a discrete suppressed subpopulation (mean 16 mg/dL, 41% of patients) absent in non-hepatitis controls. Recovery was rapid in most patients (mean HDL 50.0 mg/dL by 16-30 days) but prolonged among the severely suppressed ([&le;]20 mg/dL), who required 3-6 months to approach baseline. In PSM MACE analyses, IM patients with very low acute HDL had significantly higher long-term event rates for all outcomes (HR 1.92-2.47 versus IM without low HDL), a pattern mirrored in the COVID-19 cohort (HR 2.04-2.70) and, with attenuated effect size, in pharyngitis (HR 1.43-1.69). Conclusions. Very low HDL-C is a prevalent, hepatitis-driven finding in IM affecting approximately one quarter of patients. It identifies a subgroup at elevated long-term cardiovascular risk comparable to that observed after COVID-19. These findings warrant prospective evaluation of cardiovascular follow-up strategies for affected patients.

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Prevalence and Characteristics of Steatotic Liver Disease in Germany - Magnetic Resonance Imaging in the German National Cohort (NAKO)

von Itter, M.-N.; Grune, E.; Nonnenmacher, T.; Rach, S.; Flis, M.; Haueise, T.; Weiss, J.; Brenner, H.; Keil, T.; Roden, M.; Schulze, M. B.; Schulz-Menger, J. E.; Völzke, H.; Stefan, N.; Schlett, C. L.; Kauczor, H.-U.; Machann, J.; Bamberg, F.; Nattenmüller, J.; Norajitra, T.; Rospleszcz, S.

2026-06-01 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354407 medRxiv
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Background and Aims: Steatotic liver disease (SLD) has high clinical and public health relevance. Robust population estimates of SLD and its subcategories are challenging due to the limitations of ultrasound measurements or non-invasive scores, particularly for low-grade steatosis. We aimed to quantify SLD prevalence using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in the population-based German National Cohort (NAKO). Methods: Hepatic multi-echo Dixon MRI was performed at 5 dedicated study sites with identical setup across Germany. Liver fat (proton density fat fraction, PDFF), R2* as proxy for liver iron, and liver volume were assessed. The resulting data of N = 29'842 individuals (age range 20-72 years) were weighted by survey weights for regional representativeness, resulting in a sample of 50% women and a mean age of 45.6 years. SLD was defined as PDFF [&ge;] 5.75%, and sex-specific prevalence according to age, BMI, socioeconomic status and geographic region was calculated. Results: Overall, SLD prevalence was 21.3% in women and 35.7% in men, and the majority were metabolic dysfunction-associated (MASLD, 89.3% of all SLD cases). Prevalence increased with age in a sex-specific pattern, suggesting potential menopausal effects in women. There was a relevant prevalence of SLD in individuals with normal weight (5.3% in women, 13.2% in men) and the age group <25 years (7.5% in women, 11.9% in women). Differences in prevalence between low and high socioeconomic status were more pronounced in women (37% vs 15.8%) compared to men (45.5% vs 30.3%). Conclusions: Data underscore the high public health relevance of SLD and its subcategory MASLD. The considerable prevalence in groups historically considered low-risk, such as younger or lean individuals, emphasizes the need for raising awareness early.

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Pre-pandemic blood profiles predict COVID-19 hospitalization and death a decade later

Jacobs, L. A.

2026-05-29 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354230 medRxiv
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COVID-19 risk scores developed during the pandemic relied on measurements contemporaneous with infection, leaving unresolved whether the metabolic and inflammatory vulnerability they capture pre-existed as a stable trait or was triggered by acute illness. Here, using 501,946 UK Biobank participants whose blood was drawn between 2006 and 2010---at least ten years before SARS-CoV-2 emerged---we show that baseline proteomic and metabolic profiles predict both COVID-19 hospitalization (2,783 events; C-statistic =0.676 [0.666--0.686]) and COVID-19 mortality (1,564 deaths; C-statistic =0.730 [0.701--0.760]) from parsimonious, regularized feature sets. The IL-1 pathway index (xIL1, +0.093) was independently selected for hospitalization but not mortality, while the IL-6 trans-signaling index (xIL6, + 0.040) was selected for mortality but not hospitalization---a differential pathway weighting corroborated by independent LightGBM/SHAP analysis and mirroring the subsequent success of tocilizumab (anti-IL-6R) and the limited efficacy of anakinra (anti-IL-1R) in reducing COVID-19 mortality in randomized trials conducted years later. The mortality model was additionally characterized by central adiposity (waist-hip ratio, +0.386), a respiratory compromise index (xRSP, +0.149), and prodromal cardiovascular disease (pCVD, +0.246). These findings establish that vulnerability to a novel pathogen is, in substantial part, a pre-existing and measurable prodromal state, with implications for pandemic preparedness and population-level risk stratification.

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Multiple, but not isolated, yellow fever virus-associated orthoflavivirus immune histories drive antibody-dependent enhancement of Zika and dengue viruses

Gallon, S.; Baffour Tonto, P.; Ding, Y.; Chen, G.-H.; Naito-Keoho, K.; Brites, C.; Netto, E. M.; Wang, W.-K.; Herrera, B. B.

2026-06-01 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.22.26353817 medRxiv
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Antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE) is a major concern across orthoflavivirus infections, yet how multiple viral exposures shape enhancement risk remains incompletely understood. Here, we integrated serosurveillance from Saude, Brazil with functional immunologic analyses to define how yellow fever virus (YFV)-associated orthoflavivirus immune histories influence ADE phenotypes. Using serocomplex-specific anti-premembrane antibody profiling validated by microneutralization assays, plasma samples were stratified into YFV-only, YFV+DENV, and YFV+DENV+ZIKV exposure groups. In Fc gamma receptor-bearing U937 cells, YFV-only plasma demonstrated minimal enhancement activity, whereas cumulative orthoflavivirus exposure generated broader ADE phenotypes across heterologous viruses. In IFNAR1-/- passive-transfer models, YFV-only plasma did not enhance ZIKV or DENV2 infection in vivo. In contrast, YFV+DENV plasma increased ZIKV viremia and accelerated mortality kinetics, while YFV+DENV+ZIKV plasma demonstrated concentration-dependent enhancement phenotypes. Collectively, these findings indicate that isolated YFV immunity does not predispose to ADE, whereas cumulative orthoflavivirus exposure generates antibody repertoires capable of producing concentration-dependent enhancement in vivo.

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Prevotella stercorea links gut microbiome ecology to respiratory infection protection through a host-context-dependent, species-autonomous pathway

Ofordile, O. N.

2026-05-30 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354151 medRxiv
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Using a longitudinal cohort of 633 Gambian children (IHAT-GUT, NCT02941081), we resolve two mechanistically distinct ecological pathways linking Prevotella stercorea to infection risk. Its abundance positively predicts gut microbiome richness, consistent with community-level colonisation resistance for enteric outcomes. However, its association with reduced acute respiratory infection (ARI) persists unchanged after richness adjustment, identifying a species-autonomous pathway independent of community diversity. Weight-for-age z-score (WAZ) is uncorrelated with microbiome richness within strata, supporting WAZ as a proxy for host immune-metabolic reserve rather than a determinant of microbiome composition. In Low-WAZ children, P. stercorea at Day 1 associates with suppressed CRP, whereas in higher-WAZ children, elevated Day 1 inflammation predicts subsequent P. stercorea colonisation at Day 85, consistent with host-context-dependent immune selection. ARI and fever protection is richness-independent and concentrated in Low-WAZ children. P. copri does not retain an independent protective association when modelled jointly. These findings have direct implications for microbiome-directed interventions.

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PRV-101 Coxsackievirus B vaccine elicits protective T follicular helper immunity while avoiding cytotoxic T-cell responses in humans: implications for type 1 diabetes prevention

Vecchio, F.; Petit, M.; Burgos-Morales, O.; Laiho, J. E.; Scheinin, M.; Knip, M.; Leon, F.; Sanjuan, M.; Hyoty, H.; You, S.; Mallone, R.

2026-05-26 allergy and immunology 10.64898/2026.05.19.26352997 medRxiv
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PRV-101 is a multivalent formalin-inactivated Coxsackievirus B (CVB) vaccine developed to prevent CVB infections, which are associated with increased risk of islet autoimmunity. While PRV-101 induces robust neutralizing antibody responses, its T-cell immunogenicity is unknown. We analyzed peripheral blood mononuclear cells from 25 healthy adults receiving three high or low PRV-101 doses or placebo in a Phase I randomized, placebo-controlled trial. CVB-reactive CD8 T-cell responses were assessed using HLA Class I multimers, and CD4 and T follicular helper (Tfh) responses were measured by activation-induced marker assays following stimulation with a CVB peptide library. PRV-101 elicited minimal CVB-reactive CD8 T-cell responses but robust CD4 and Tfh responses, peaking at week 12 and persisting through week 32. Responses were observed in both seronegative and seropositive individuals, consistent with effective immune priming and boosting. Tfh frequencies correlated with neutralizing antibody titers. Female participants exhibited higher peak Tfh responses than males. We conclude that PRV-101 elicits a CVB-protective immune profile, dominated by Tfh responses supporting durable humoral immunity and devoid of potentially diabetogenic cytotoxic T-cell responses. This profile invites further investigations in vaccine trials for type 1 diabetes prevention.

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Multimodal atlas of human atherosclerosis links granular vascular cell states to coronary artery disease risk

Mosquera, J. V.; Tang, I.; Murach, M.; Auguste, G.; Kodali, A.; Hart, P.; Shaw, D. M.; Li, M.; Turner, A. W.; Hodonsky, C. J.; Dworak, N. M.; de Oliveira, A. K.; Sol-Church, K.; Jhee, T.; van der Sijs, K. I. M.; Adkar, S. S.; Choi, R. B.; Vacante, F.; Wu, J. C.; Cheng, P.; Giannarelli, C.; Leeper, N. J.; Finn, A. V.; Bjorkegren, J. L. M.; Kovacic, J. C.; Yurdagul, A.; van der Laan, S. W.; Miller, C. L.

2026-05-26 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.24.26353986 medRxiv
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Advances in single-cell and spatial assays have revolutionized the scale and resolution of molecular tissue profiling. Here we present MetaPlaq, a multimodal atlas of human atherosclerotic arterial beds comprising over a million cells across single-cell transcriptomics, epigenomics and high-resolution spatial expression assays. We map granular cell states and disease-relevant transcriptional programs within the native tissue context of coronary arteries. Furthermore, we map cardiovascular GWAS signals to smooth muscle cells (SMCs) and endothelial cells (ECs) and uncover the cis-regulatory architecture governing their phenotypic transitions. Our comprehensive epigenomic reference allowed us to build cell-specific enhancer-gene link maps and multimodal gene regulatory networks (GRNs) underlying disease-relevant states such as osteogenic SMCs and ECs undergoing mesenchymal transition. We also integrate SMC and EC disease-associated gene sets with GRNs to nominate key transcription factors such as PRRX1, BNC2 and ELK3 regulating atherosclerosis-relevant transcriptional programs. Finally, we layer single-cell and spatial modalities to fine-map GWAS variants with improved cell and anatomical context. We highlight candidate cell-specific regulatory mechanisms at less characterized CAD loci, including FGD5 and MCF2L in ECs. Together, this atlas represents an important step towards fully interpreting genetic risk loci and informing new therapeutic strategies for cardiovascular disease.

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Integrative Genetic Analyses of Lipid Metabolism and Multiple Sclerosis Severity Using Metabolome-Wide and Cis-Mendelian Randomization

Noroozi, R.; Higgins Tejera, C.; Chen, M.; Briggs, F. B. S.; Bhargava, P.; Fitzgerald, K. C.

2026-05-29 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354239 medRxiv
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The course of multiple sclerosis (MS) is highly heterogeneous, yet the biological mechanisms underlying this variability remain incompletely understood. Although metabolic alterations have increasingly been associated with disease progression, existing observational evidence is limited by confounding, reverse causation, and an inability to establish causal mechanisms. To bridge this gap, we used a metabolome-wide Mendelian Randomization (MR) framework, including thorough sensitivity analyses, to identify metabolites genetically linked to MS severity that can causally affect it. Bidirectional MR analyses revealed a subset of amino acid and lipid pathways with strong, consistent effects across different MR approaches, confirmed by tests for heterogeneity, horizontal pleiotropy, and LD confounding. For metabolites prioritized by metabolome-wide MR with evidence of causal effects, we conducted genetic colocalization at loci encompassing proximal enzyme-encoding genes, leveraging the corresponding instrumental variants to assess shared underlying genetic signals. This process revealed shared genetic signals between metabolite levels and MS severity, mapped to the FADS1/2 and CYP4F2 loci. A subsequent pathway-resolved set of cis-MR analyses across FADS1/2-derived polyunsaturated fatty acid (PUFA) metabolites, using a functional variant that proxies reduced {triangleup}5-desaturase activity, showed consistent effects indicating that FADS1 perturbation is associated with MS severity. Collectively, these results highlight FADS1 as a key driver of PUFA-related causal effects on MS severity in both systemic (circulating metabolites) and brain cell-specific contexts. Additional supportive cis-MR evidence implicates the disruption of CYP4F2 as another PUFA-metabolizing enzyme.

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Rationale and Design of an Artificial Intelligence Model for Diastolic Heart Failure (AID- HF): A Canadian Cardiomyopathy Collaborative (C3) Study

Papaz, T.; Patel, S.; Akilen, R.; Min, S.; Lesurf, R.; Rouleau, J.-L.; Ruiz, M.; Lam, C. Z.; Dragulescu, A.; Friedberg, M. K.; Mertens, L.; Tremblay-Gravel, M.; Krahn, A. D.; Tadros, R.; Mital, S.

2026-05-29 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354226 medRxiv
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Diastolic heart failure (HF) in primary cardiomyopathy is under-recognized and often diagnosed late, particularly in children. While recent studies have advanced understanding of HF with preserved ejection fraction in older adults, the prevalence, outcomes and molecular drivers of diastolic HF in pediatric and young adult cardiomyopathy remain poorly defined, where disease is typically driven by primary myocardial disease rather than acquired co-morbidities. The Canadian Cardiomyopathy Collaborative (C3) was assembled to leverage three of Canadas leading pediatric and adult cardiomyopathy biobank registries. Its flagship initiative, Artificial Intelligence to Model Diastolic Heart Failure (AID-HF), aims to integrate deep phenotyping - including comprehensive diastolic function assessment - with genomics, lipidomics and proteomics and apply machine learning to identify biological and clinical signatures that drive cardiac function and outcomes in cardiomyopathy. Harmonized phenotyping and multiomics protocols across registries will create a uniquely integrated national data resource and enable the goals of AID-HF i.e., earlier diagnosis and new therapeutic targets for diastolic HF in cardiomyopathy.

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One-year within-trial and lifetime-horizon modeled health economic evaluation of the risk-stratified Prediabetes Lifestyle Intervention Study (PLIS) for prediabetes remission in Germany

Mohebbi, D.; Vomhof, M.; Montalbo, J.; Winkels, A. K.; Gontscharuk, V.; Chernyak, N.; Dintsios, C.-M.; Kairies-Schwarz, N.; Stark, R.; Emmert-Fees, K. M. F.; Fan, M.; Schick, R.; Schürmann, A.; Bornstein, S.; Heni, M.; Stefan, N.; Jumpertz von Schwartzenberg, R.; Blüher, M.; Lechner, A.; Clavel, J.; Kopf, S.; Szendrödi, J.; Roden, M.; Wagner, R.; Fritsche, A.; Birkenfeld, A. L.; Icks, A.

2026-05-26 health economics 10.64898/2026.05.22.26353768 medRxiv
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Background Lifestyle interventions can increase the probability of remission of prediabetes to normal glucose tolerance, but their economic value remains unclear. We assessed the within-trial and lifetime-horizon modeled cost-effectiveness of intensive and conventional lifestyle interventions in risk-stratified participants with prediabetes. Methods A health economic evaluation was conducted alongside the 12-month multicenter PLIS trial (n=1,105). High-risk participants were randomized to intensive (HR-INT) or conventional (HR-CONV); low-risk participants to conventional lifestyle intervention (LR-CONV) or control (only short single consultation; LR-CTRL) with risk stratification based on insulin secretion, insulin sensitivity, and liver fat content. Within-trial analyses estimated incremental costs per additional remission to normoglycemia and per quality-adjusted life year (QALY). Lifetime cost-effectiveness was modelled using a four-state Markov Model. Findings At 12 months, HR-INT and LR-CONV increased remission compared with their respective comparators. The incremental cost per additional remission was {euro}7,081 (95% CI: dominated-47,277) for HR-INT and {euro}4,278 (1,312-11,793) for LR-CONV from a health insurance perspective. A willingness-to-pay of {euro}22,000 (HR-INT) and {euro}7,500 (LR-CONV) per additional remission corresponded to 90% probability of cost-effectiveness. Neither intervention was cost-effective in terms of QALYs gained within the 12-months period. Lifetime modelling suggested that both HR-INT and LR-CONV are not only cost-effective, but also cost-saving, relative to HR-CONV and LR-CTRL, respectively. Also in the probabilistic sensitivity analysis, most simulations indicated dominance (71.7% for HR and 88% for LR). Interpretation Based on short-term economic evaluation, the interventions assessed were cost-effective regarding additional participants with remission, not for incremental QALYs gained. Lifetime modelling suggests cost savings for both risk groups. Targeting populations with lifestyle interventions to achieve prediabetes remission seems to generate good value for money in the long term.

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A Common CD36 Variant and the Genetic Landscape of Dilated Cardiomyopathy in Individuals of African Ancestry

Challa, S.; Biddinger, K.; Abramowitz, S.; Zheng, A.; Mead, J. O.; Judy, R. L.; Jurgens, S.; Gaziano, L.; Wang, X.; Choi, S. H.; Halford, J.; Jordan, E.; Liu, J.; VA Million Veteran Program, ; Penn Medicine Biobank, ; Chang, K.-M.; Vest, A.; Tang, W. H. W.; Tsao, P.; Kinnamon, D. D.; Damrauer, S. M.; Ellinor, P. T.; Levin, M.; Hershberger, R. E.; Huffman, J. E.; Aragam, K. G.

2026-05-27 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.26.26353838 medRxiv
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Importance Dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) is a major cause of heart failure that disproportionately affects individuals of African genetic ancestry (AFR), among whom familial clustering of disease is also more pronounced relative to those of European ancestry (EUR). However, established monogenic DCM genes, identified primarily in EUR populations, explain a smaller proportion of DCM cases in AFR populations. A recent study identified a common AFR-specific nonsense variant in CD36 that accounts for a substantial burden of DCM in AFR. How the risk and population impact of this variant compare with those of established genetic causes of DCM is unknown. Objective To compare the contribution of a CD36 nonsense variant to DCM risk with that of truncating variants in TTN and pathogenic or likely pathogenic (P/LP) variants in other established DCM genes. Design, Setting, and Participants Multicohort genetic association study including AFR and EUR participants with exome or genome sequence and DCM case status from four datasets: All of Us, Million Veteran Program, Penn Medicine Biobank, and the DCM Precision Medicine Study. Exposure Carrier status for TTN truncating variants, P/LP variants in 11 high confidence DCM genes, and the CD36 nonsense variant (Y325*; 0, 1, or 2 copies). Main Outcomes and Measures Odds of DCM; prevalence of risk-variant carriers among DCM cases; and population attributable fraction (PAF) for DCM. Results Among 82,623 AFR individuals across four studies, the mean age was 53.4 years and 1,625 had DCM. CD36 Y325* risk-allele homozygotes had 4.8-fold (95% CI, 3.1-7.3) increased odds of DCM, and CD36 Y325* heterozygotes had 1.4-fold (95% CI, 1.2-1.7) increased odds. TTN truncating variants also conferred elevated risk of DCM in AFR participants (OR, 8.46; 95% CI, 5.3-12.3). Among AFR DCM cases, 2.5% were CD36 homozygotes, second only to TTN truncating variants (4.3%) and exceeding all other high-confidence DCM genes combined (1.5%). In population-level analyses incorporating both heterozygous and homozygous CD36 Y325* carriers, the population-attributable fraction for CD36 (9.0%) surpassed that of TTN truncating variants (3.6%). Conclusions and Relevance An ancestry-specific CD36 variant contributes more to DCM burden in AFR ancestry than established DCM genes, including TTN truncating variants, typically considered the most common genetic cause of DCM. These findings reshape the known genetic architecture of DCM in individuals of African ancestry and highlight the importance of representation in genomic research.

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Integrated surveillance resolves Darien paradox of Oropouche virus emergence in Panama migration corridor

Rodriguez, X.; Perez-Jimenez, J. G.; Alexander, L. W.; Lezcano-Coba, C.; Galue, J.; Juarez, Y.; Beltran, D.; Smith, D. R.; Kadir, M.; Ali, D. W.; Corrales, R.; Trujillo Rodriguez, L.; Valdiviezo, G. E.; Thomas, Q. K.; Cicalo, A.; Fitzpatrick, M. C.; Luquette, A. E.; Cameron Sayer, L.; Cer, R. Z.; Malagon, F.; Grajales, I. A.; Rivera, L. F.; Gonzalez-R, Z.; Antioco, J.; Walters-Valdes, E.; Meneghello-Ponce, N.; Vittor, A. Y.; Escobar-Lee, K.; Abouganem-Shaw, A.; Rodriguez, F.; Aguirre, E.; Loyola, S.; Tinoco, Y.; Moreno, B.; Chen-German, M.; Ampuero, S.; Gomez-Angelo, A.; Correa-Duarte, S.; Ace

2026-06-01 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.28.26354376 medRxiv
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Oropouche virus (OROV) spread across the Americas in 2024, yet Panama Darien migration corridor saw no outbreak until nearly a year after Brazil January 2024 peak, raising two hypotheses: cryptic circulation masked by diagnostic gaps, or recent introduction under permissive climatic conditions. Here we resolve this paradox using integrated clinical, genomic, and climate-informed surveillance. Among 1,040 individuals tested, 43% were OROV-positive and showed a clinical signature distinct from co-circulating arboviruses, including headache more frequent than in dengue (RR 2.38, 95% CI 1.74-3.24). The household secondary attack rate was 56%, and waste burning independently predicted infection. Phylogeographic reconstruction identified a single recent introduction in October 2024 with no evidence of adaptive evolution, excluding prolonged cryptic persistence. Climate-informed models indicate broad outbreak susceptibility across Panama, with Bocas del Toro and Los Santos as the next highest-risk provinces. These findings identify a Central American foothold for OROV with potential for further northward spread.

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Vaginal Antisepsis for Major Gynecologic Surgeries Using Chlorhexidine Gluconate versus Povidone Iodine: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Dias, Y.; Gebrekidan, F.; Lowder, J.; Sutcliffe, S.; Yaeger, L.

2026-05-27 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26353429 medRxiv
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ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE: We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis (SRMA) of post-surgical outcomes, comparing chlorhexidine gluconate (CHG) versus povidone iodine (PI) for vaginal antisepsis of major gynecologic procedures. DATA SOURCES: Ovid Medline, Embase, Scopus, Embase, Cochrane, and Clinicaltrials.gov were searched between 1986 and December 2023, for studies comparing CHG with PI for vaginal antisepsis of major gynecologic operations. STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: We included Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) and non-RCTs comparing CHG to PI for vaginal antisepsis of major gynecologic operations. The primary outcome was surgical site infections (SSIs) and the secondary outcome was urinary tract infections (UTIs) and vaginal irritation. METHODS: Summary estimates were calculated by fixed effects models when I2 [&le;] 25% and by random effects models when I2 > 25%. Statistical analysis was performed using RevMan 5.4.1. The protocol for this systematic review was registered on PROSPERO (ID CRD42022378101). RESULTS: Nine studies met the inclusion criteria, four of which were randomized controlled trials (RCTs). 9538 patients were included, 4300 (45%) of whom were allocated to CHG and 5238 (55%) to PI. No statistically significant difference in SSI incidence was found for vaginal antisepsis with CHG versus PI in pooled analyses (n= 9538 patients; RR 1.20; 95% CI 0.92-1.57; I2 =0%). In contrast, a significantly higher risk of UTIs was observed for vaginal antisepsis with CHG than with PI (n=6061 patients; RR 1.48 95% CI 1.03-2.14; I2 = 0%). CONCLUSION: In our SRMA, there were no significant differences in SSI risk when either CHG or PI was utilized for antiseptic vaginal preparation. Interestingly, vaginal antisepsis with PI was associated with a lower incidence of post-operative UTIs following major gynecologic surgery. Our findings support current guidelines that form of vaginal antisepsis can be used for SSI prevention. They also suggest that PI may result in fewer postoperative UTIs but further randomized studies are needed to support these findings. Key words: surgical site infection, surgical wound infection, urinary tract infection, urogynecologic surgery, Chlorhexidine, Povidone Iodine, surgical antiseptic,

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Patient Versus Prediction-Level Evaluation of a Dynamic Clinical Prediction Model of Sepsis

Tuttle, M.; Maas, C. C. H. M.; An, J.; Wessler, B. S.; Harvey, W. F.; Selker, H. P.; van Klaveren, D.; Kent, D. M.

2026-05-27 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354141 medRxiv
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The Epic Sepsis Model version 2 (ESMv2) is a prediction model embedded into the electronic medical record used to warn clinicians which hospitalized patients are at risk for sepsis. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 31,951 hospitalizations of 25,760 patients to compare analyses conducted at the commonly used patient-level (where a maximum prediction prior to the onset of sepsis is used to measure performance) vs novel prediction-level (where each prediction is used to measure performance). Sepsis, defined by the Sepsis 3 criteria occurred during 1,049 hospitalizations (3.3%). Patient-level analyses suggested excellent discrimination AUC 0.86; [IQR 0.85, 0.87], whereas prediction-level analyses demonstrated lower performance AUC 0.62; [IQR 0.57, 0.65]. Low estimates of the positive predictive value (14.5% at the patient level vs 4% at the prediction level) imply a high number of false alerts. Common evaluation approaches may overstate the performance of dynamic prediction models and mislead clinical decision-making.

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Optical coherence tomography as a biomarker for frontotemporal dementia: a systematic review & meta-analysis

Wang, E.; Kohli, A.; Taha, H. B.

2026-05-27 neurology 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353366 medRxiv
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Background: Frontotemporal dementia (FTD) lacks widely accessible disease-specific biomarkers. Optical coherence tomography (OCT) and OCT angiography (OCTA) may provide non-invasive measures of retinal changes associated with neurodegeneration. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis evaluating retinal biomarkers in FTD compared with Alzheimer disease (AD) and controls. Methods: A systematic search of PubMed and Embase was conducted through April 25, 2026 according to PRISMA guidelines. Studies evaluating OCT/OCTA biomarkers in FTD with comparator groups were included. Inverse weighted random-effects models, publication bias assessments, and meta-regressions were performed. Results: Ten studies involving 139 individuals with FTD, 87 with AD, 29 with mild cognitive impairment, 14 with TDP-43 proteinopathy, 5 with tauopathy, and 255 controls were included in the systematic review; five studies were eligible for meta-analysis. Compared with AD, individuals with FTD demonstrated significantly thinner retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) thickness (SMD = -0.61, 95% CI -0.98, -0.24). Compared with controls, individuals with FTD exhibited significantly thinner ganglion cell layer-inner plexiform layer (GCL-IPL) thickness (SMD = -0.55, 95% CI -1.02, -0.08), whereas pooled analyses across multiple retinal biomarkers were non-significant (SMD = -0.19, 95% CI -0.52, 0.14). RNFL thickness correlated negatively with female % in FTD and positively with age in both AD and controls. Conclusions: Individuals with FTD exhibit lower RNFL thickness than AD and lower GCL-IPL thickness than controls, suggesting retinal alterations may reflect neurodegeneration. However, larger longitudinal studies with standardized OCT/OCTA protocols are needed to determine the diagnostic and prognostic utility of retinal biomarkers in FTD

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An ECG foundation model for generalizable cardiac function prediction across the lifespan

Yang, Y.; Peracchio, L.; Mayourian, J.; Miller, T.; La Cava, W.

2026-05-27 health informatics 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354128 medRxiv
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Background Artificial intelligence-enhanced electrocardiography (AI-ECG) enables scalable, low-cost cardiac dysfunction screening, but existing models are annotation-intensive and predominantly adult-derived, leaving paediatric generalizability uncertain. Paediatric cohorts exhibit highly variable cardiac morphology and function compared to adults, which may be useful for learning generalizable AI-ECG models. Methods We pretrained ECG-Fyler on a predominantly paediatric, all-age cohort at Boston Children's Hospital (1992-2023), annotated with a cardiology-specific coding system (Fyler codes), and evaluated it on assessments from echocardiography (echo) and cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) studies. We validated on an external adult cohort from Columbia University Irving Medical Center. Performance was benchmarked against several AI-ECG foundation models by AUROC across age groups, lesion types, and limited-data scenarios. Findings The pretraining cohort comprised 782,138 ECGs from 255,271 patients (median age: 10.9 years, IQR: [2.8-16.8]). Internal evaluation included 178,495 ECG-echo pairs (median age: 10.9 [3.7-17.0]) and 8,584 ECG-CMR pairs (median age: 20.7 [15.6-29.6]). External validation included 82,543 ECG-echo pairs from adults (median age: 64.0 [52.0-74.0]). ECG-Fyler improved AUROC across biventricular dysfunction and dilation tasks, with the largest gains in low-data settings. In internal validation, ECG-Fyler detected low left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF [&le;] 40%) from only 100 fine-tuning samples (AUROC: 0.80, 95% CI: [0.78-0.80]), outperforming other models (AUROC < 0.65) and improving with additional fine-tuning (AUROC: 0.94 [0.93-0.94]). Similar improvements were observed for CMR-derived LVEF, RVEF, and ventricular dilation. In external validation on adults, ECG-Fyler exhibited an AUROC of 0.83 (CI: [0.82-0.85]) for LVEF [&le;] 40%. After fine-tuning on less than 10% of external data, LVEF [&le;] 45% performance (AUROC: 0.87 [0.86-0.88]) outperformed a fully trained, site-specific prior model (AUROC: 0.85 [0.84-0.87]). Interpretation Pretraining on richly annotated, paediatric-dominant ECGs yields models that transfer efficiently across institutions and ages, supporting AI-ECG screening and triage when labels or imaging access are limited. Funding National Institutes of Health (R01LM012973); Kostin Innovation Fund, Boston Children's Hospital

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Hierarchical organ aging signatures from routine abdominal CT add incremental disease risk stratification beyond blood biomarkers

Deng, Z.; Wang, Y.; Shi, Y.; Wang, L.; Qureshi, T. A.; Gaddam, S.; Javed, S.; Hsu, Y.-C.; De Righi, D. R.; Azab, L.; Diwan, G.; Yang, J. D.; Xie, Y.; Yuan, C.; Vendrami, C. L.; Rodriguez, A.; Specht, K.; Jeon, C. Y.; Chaudhry, H.; Buxbaum, J.; Pisegna, J. R.; Yaghmai, V.; Goessling, W.; Hernandez-Barco, Y. G.; Miller, F. H.; Tirkes, T.; Espinoza, S.; Musi, N.; Dey, D.; Sung, K. H.; Pandol, S. J.; Li, D.

2026-05-27 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353206 medRxiv
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Biological aging is heterogeneous across organ systems, yet whether CT-derived abdominal aging provides prognostic value beyond routine clinical data and whether organ decomposition adds beyond a unified estimate remains untested. We developed and evaluated organ-specific and ensemble biological age models from radiomic features across five abdominal organs in 68,675 CT scans from 32,883 subjects, evaluated on alignment with chronological age of healthy subjects (nested cross validation: MAE=3.68 years, R^2=0.90). In sequential analyses restricted to adults aged 20-60 years which is the stratum of strongest BAG-disease association, ensemble biological age gaps provided incremental prognostic value beyond demographic covariates for all-cause disease and mortality (Delta C-index=0.141, 0.051) and beyond routine blood biomarkers (Delta C-index=0.048), confirming CT-derived aging captures structural information beyond laboratory markers. Organ-specific biological age added incremental prognostic value beyond ensemble selectively for focal diseases: cardiovascular (aorta, Delta C-index=0.091) and hepato-pancreatic (pancreas, Delta C-index=0.096). These findings establish a hierarchical organization of CT-derived biological aging, positioning routine CT as a source that adds prognostic value to existing clinical biomarkers.

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Morphological feature remodeling of intracranial arteries in the context of inflammation and HIV-associated cognitive impairment

Hoang, N.; Yang, H.; Uddin, M. N.; Zhong, J.; Faiyaz, A.; Singh, M. V.; Boodoo, Z. D.; Sutton, K. R.; Wang, H. Z.; Sahin, B.; Khan, M. W.; Weber, M. T.; Yuan, C.; Chen, L.; Schifitto, G.

2026-05-27 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353071 medRxiv
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Background: Despite the success of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART), vascular comorbidities, including cerebrovascular disease, are more prominent in people living with HIV (PLWH) compared to people without HIV (PWOH). However, quantitative assessments of cerebrovascular morphometry and their associations with cognitive outcomes in the context of HIV are still limited. In this study, we explore this missing link. Methods: Magnetic Resonance Angiography (MRA) data, blood markers, and neurocognitive assessments were collected from 73 PWOH subjects (male: 57, female: 16; age: 53 {+/-} 16) and 99 PLWH subjects (male: 66, female: 30, age: 53 {+/-} 11). Vessel morphometric features were quantified using intraCranial Artery Feature Extraction (iCafe) to investigate associations between vessel morphometry, markers of monocytes, endothelial cell activation, and cognitive performance. Results: HIV status predicted a lower total number of branches ({beta} = -0.224, p = 0.001, d = -0.517) and shorter total distal length ({beta} = -0.173, p = 0.021, d = -0.370) with a moderate effect size. Total branch number was found to be negatively associated with plasma levels of monocyte markers (sCD14: r = -0.167, p = 0.033; sCD163: r = -0.157, p = 0.045) and positively correlated with white matter cerebral blood flow (r = 0.550; p [&le;] 0.05). HIV status was the strongest predictor of overall cognitive performance in ANCOVA model ({beta} = -0.219, p = 0.006, d = -0.453). Conclusions: Our results suggest that cognitive impairment in PLWH is associated with vessel morphology metrics. Monocyte immune activation may contribute to changes in vessel morphology.

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Can Large Language Models Diagnose Primary Immunodeficiency from Patient-Described Symptoms?

Reteig, L. C.; Woloshin, S.; Maglione, P. J.; Farmer, J. R.; Ong, M.-S.

2026-05-27 allergy and immunology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26353818 medRxiv
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Patients with primary immunodeficiency (PID) often face prolonged diagnostic delays and may increasingly turn to large language models (LLMs) to interpret their symptoms during this period. We evaluated whether an LLM could recognize PID from symptom descriptions derived from interviews with 21 PID patients. In a prior study, we showed that GPT-4o identified PID in 96% of cases when prompted with physician-written patient histories (Rider et al., JACI, 2024). Here, when prompted with symptom descriptions in patients' own words, GPT-5 identified PID in only 7 cases (33%), although it more broadly suggested immune system issues in 18 cases (81%). The gap between these findings indicates that LLMs are sensitive to the language and framing of symptom descriptions, performing substantially worse when patients describe their own symptoms in everyday language than when clinicians summarize patient histories in structured medical terms. This study underscores the need to carefully evaluate how LLMs are used in patient-facing applications.

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A Multisite, Randomized Trial Testing a Community-Digital Health Intervention among Black and Latino Adults with Cardiometabolic Conditions: The Roots of Wellness (Raices del Bienestar) Protocol

Himmelfarb, C. R.; Chepkorir, J.; Miller, H.; Ogungbe, O.; Perrin, N. A.; Olawole, W.; Cain, G.; Kinlock, B. L.; Mullins, C. D.; Kutcherman, I.; Barger, P.; Diaz-Ramirez, M.; Rodriguez, J.; Trujillo, R.; Gonzalez-Salinas, A.; Clark, R.; Andrade, E. L.

2026-05-27 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354175 medRxiv
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Background: Black and Latino adults in the United States experience a disproportionate burden of cardiometabolic conditions due to interacting behavioral, social, and structural drivers of health. Less is known about the impact of integrating digital health tools into CHW-led interventions to improve cardiometabolic health. This trial evaluates a multilevel community-digital health promotion model delivered by CHWs to improve service utilization, health behaviors and cardiometabolic health among Black and Latino adults. Methods: This community-partnered trial uses a randomized delayed-control group with a phased recruitment design. Four cohorts (N = 664) are enrolled through three community-based organizations (CBOs). Eligible participants are 18 years who self-identify as Black or Latino, and have prediabetes/diabetes, hypertension, or overweight/obesity. Participants are allocated to either (1) a multilevel intervention consisting of CBO and CHW capacity building combined with individualized CHW-led lifestyle coaching and group activities supported by digital tools, or (2) a delayed control group receiving SMS-only cardiometabolic health education. Data collected at baseline, 6, 9, and 18 months include surveys and health metrics. Qualitative data are collected from participants and community partners to assess intervention acceptability, implementation facilitators and barriers, and sustainability. Results: The primary outcome is health service utilization at 6 and 9 months. Secondary outcomes include health behaviors, health metrics, and social determinants of health. Sustainability of health behaviors and health metrics is assessed at 18 months. Conclusions: Findings will provide evidence to inform scalable, sustainable community-digital health models for CHW-supported cardiometabolic health interventions in underserved communities.